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Oct 26, 2012
10/12
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go, new polling, the marist poll in colorado, showing a dead heat with romney and obama at 48, and nevada, obama has a slight lead, over romney, 50-47 right now then the state of ohio, peter alexander traveling with the romney campaign in defiance, ohio, good evening peter. >> reporter: brian, good evening to you, these days the "o" in ohio could be optimism, this is the most confident mitt romney we've seen all year, and despite the polls showing the race is neck and neck, romney is telling the crowds that he will win. weaving his way from cincinnati to the town of defiance, romney claimed the opponent's theme of change four years ago. >> these challenges are big challenges, this election, therefore, is a big choice, and america wants to see big changes and we'll bring big changes to get america stronger again. >> reporter: seeking an edge in the battle of ideas, governor romney said president obama's campaign lacks vision. >> the obama campaign doesn't have a plan, the obama campaign is slipping because he is talking about smaller and smaller things. despite the fact america has such hu
go, new polling, the marist poll in colorado, showing a dead heat with romney and obama at 48, and nevada, obama has a slight lead, over romney, 50-47 right now then the state of ohio, peter alexander traveling with the romney campaign in defiance, ohio, good evening peter. >> reporter: brian, good evening to you, these days the "o" in ohio could be optimism, this is the most confident mitt romney we've seen all year, and despite the polls showing the race is neck and neck,...
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Oct 16, 2012
10/12
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is "none of the above," an option in all nevada races? >>guest: all races decided by voters state ride from president to state supreme court and it remains there on the ballot despite complaints from republicans that that could steal votes away from mitt romney and other g.o.p. candidates. this summer the republican national committee backed a lawsuit to get rid of the option saying because it means nothing and it cannot win anyway, having it on the ballot is unfair to candidates but a district judge agreed a federal appeals court said not so fast ruling that since "none," does not count it would stay on the ballot. for now. but legal problems continued and it inspireed a play that is a comedy called "none of the above." >>guest: nevada introduced this vote in 1975 to combat voter apathy in the wake of watergate and could have impacted elections such as of senate majority leader harry reid in 1998 he beat the republican challenger by 400 votes but no candidate got 8 the. you could abstain from voting altogether but many relish the chance
is "none of the above," an option in all nevada races? >>guest: all races decided by voters state ride from president to state supreme court and it remains there on the ballot despite complaints from republicans that that could steal votes away from mitt romney and other g.o.p. candidates. this summer the republican national committee backed a lawsuit to get rid of the option saying because it means nothing and it cannot win anyway, having it on the ballot is unfair to...
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Oct 15, 2012
10/12
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dean heller, he will be a great senator for nevada. i am deeply honored to be with the governor here. she is a terrific human being. a republican winning in a democrat state in mexico. she is going to make the difference in our senate race down there. we support her with everything we have got. i will turn the microphone back to him so he can introduce year. we are grateful to have you all here. let us turn this country around. let us do what we all know is right. but as hear it one more time for senator hatch. [applause] >> senator hatch does have other plans, he has to excuse himself. thank you so much for taking time to be with us as we work to move romney and ran for rich. two more -- romney and ryan forward. two more defense. we have some great governors. we have some great conservative, republican governors in this country that are moving this country forward. very conservative. our governor in nevada, he does a tremendous job. we had bobby jindal here a couple of weeks ago. we have had chris christie. we have another wonderful g
dean heller, he will be a great senator for nevada. i am deeply honored to be with the governor here. she is a terrific human being. a republican winning in a democrat state in mexico. she is going to make the difference in our senate race down there. we support her with everything we have got. i will turn the microphone back to him so he can introduce year. we are grateful to have you all here. let us turn this country around. let us do what we all know is right. but as hear it one more time...
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Oct 26, 2012
10/12
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to nevada highway patrol, the chain reaction crash vehicles,ix capital police vehicles. harry reid was to get to hospital by ambulance. learned he is ok. ata scare in northeast d.c. afternadian embassy employee found a suspicious e.bstanc evacuating the building and shut down two pennsylvania avenue a white envelope with discovered. was the scene has been cleared, but the police have not reported as to what was in the envelope. >> some ford cars under investigation. what the problem is any model years under the microscope. >> many runners in this year's marine corps marathon. one of them will stand out from the rest. >> today may be the first state place your order for the ipad >> today may be the first state plac[ male announcer ]he ipad if barack obama is re-elected, what will the next four years be like? one: t the debt willrow from $1 trillion to $20 trillion. two: 20 million americans could lose their employer-based health care. three: taxes on the middle class will go up by $4,000. four: energy prices will continue to go up. and five: $716 billion in medicare cuts
to nevada highway patrol, the chain reaction crash vehicles,ix capital police vehicles. harry reid was to get to hospital by ambulance. learned he is ok. ata scare in northeast d.c. afternadian embassy employee found a suspicious e.bstanc evacuating the building and shut down two pennsylvania avenue a white envelope with discovered. was the scene has been cleared, but the police have not reported as to what was in the envelope. >> some ford cars under investigation. what the problem is...
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Oct 26, 2012
10/12
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more now on our new polls in the battleground states of colorado and nevada. in colorado it's now a dead heat 48% to 48%. president obama's five-point lead last month, it's gone. in nevada president obama holds a three-point lead versus two points last month. we want to dig deeper into the numbers with nevada political journalist john rolston, host of "rolston reports" our nbc affiliate in las vegas, and the author of the rolston report website and joining us is washington sherry, from "the washington post." key in nevada are polls showing president obama with this lead among the state's large hispanic population, chuck todd reports even republicans feel nevada is so well organized on the democratic side of things it's really going to be hard to overcome the advantage. so, what are you hearing on the ground? >> well, on the ground, thomas, the democrats are absolutely crushing the republicans in early voting. where i'm sitting right now, clark county in the las vegas area nearly 200,000 people have already voted, might have been a third of the total vote has a
more now on our new polls in the battleground states of colorado and nevada. in colorado it's now a dead heat 48% to 48%. president obama's five-point lead last month, it's gone. in nevada president obama holds a three-point lead versus two points last month. we want to dig deeper into the numbers with nevada political journalist john rolston, host of "rolston reports" our nbc affiliate in las vegas, and the author of the rolston report website and joining us is washington sherry,...
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Oct 23, 2012
10/12
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>>neil: the third party vote will be big in nevada and virginia, certainly. thank you. if you liked our coverage of all the debates and the conventions, the best is yet to come. we have two days of special pre-election coverage including november 3 from 10:00 a.m. to 12:00 noon and we are back the following day, sunday, a special version of "your world" on sunday, november 4th and the big one of them all, election night, nonstop, we start at 6:5 p.m. we are trying to take bets and i say it will go until 2:00 in the morning but i will stay late until we have the results. the longer it goes, the more punchy i get. we will see. be with us. foreign market reaction, your reaction, kind of things you can only get in one place on fox business network. we told you from the beginning when fox business network started five years ago, your money, your life, and it would be our livelihood. we mean it. we are on it. tuesday the 6th. >> why is pat saying that the "ship "just hit the fan for the president. >> we have ships that go underwater, nuclear submarines. can your hearing aid d
>>neil: the third party vote will be big in nevada and virginia, certainly. thank you. if you liked our coverage of all the debates and the conventions, the best is yet to come. we have two days of special pre-election coverage including november 3 from 10:00 a.m. to 12:00 noon and we are back the following day, sunday, a special version of "your world" on sunday, november 4th and the big one of them all, election night, nonstop, we start at 6:5 p.m. we are trying to take bets...
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Oct 14, 2012
10/12
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thank you for such a warm kell woman in nevada. ladies and gentlemen the next 24 days will define the next four years. and we will not take a defeat. we will win this election. you know that last debate t debate between the president and mitt romney, governor romney, what an amazing difference. when you don't have a record to run on, you don't have a whole lot to say. and that's what took place. governor romney had a record, he was strong talking about how successful he was as governor, how he turned his state around. and keep in mind 87% of his legitimate tors were democrats and he was still successful. he cut taxes 19 times. he was at the top for education for the kids in his state. we know he has a record that he can bring to the rost of the country and we know he is a leader and not a politician and that's what we need in america. [applause] then look at paul ryan and you look at biden, oh my god. you know you sit there and you look at how intelligent and professional and what a respectful human being pool ryan was being during
thank you for such a warm kell woman in nevada. ladies and gentlemen the next 24 days will define the next four years. and we will not take a defeat. we will win this election. you know that last debate t debate between the president and mitt romney, governor romney, what an amazing difference. when you don't have a record to run on, you don't have a whole lot to say. and that's what took place. governor romney had a record, he was strong talking about how successful he was as governor, how he...
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Oct 26, 2012
10/12
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in nevada the president is holding on to the lead. governor romney needs ohio. he has boots on the ground and he's been on the ground. why do you believe he's not been able to break the fever of being the underdog, if you will, in ohio despite the fact that he's banking heavily on white middle class working class men where he leads in a number of places but not in ohio. why aren't they buying his mess saks danny? >> i still think we have several days left in this campaign. i still think it comes down to voter turnout come november 6th and i think at the end of the day when people have an opportunity to make a decision to actually go into the voting booth and decide on what future they want for their state and country it will come down to someone who understands how to motivate and stimulate and move the private sector in the direction of creating jobs. that's what we'll hopefully see. i agree it will come down to ohio, ohio, ohio. >> i'm curious how much it will come down to ohio. will it come down to people going in to vote and think president obama says that h
in nevada the president is holding on to the lead. governor romney needs ohio. he has boots on the ground and he's been on the ground. why do you believe he's not been able to break the fever of being the underdog, if you will, in ohio despite the fact that he's banking heavily on white middle class working class men where he leads in a number of places but not in ohio. why aren't they buying his mess saks danny? >> i still think we have several days left in this campaign. i still think...
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Oct 26, 2012
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romney was 14 points in nevada. 16 points in nevada. 14 in colorado. now down to 6 in nevada and 7 in colorado. why is this tightening too much? >> well, we know there are polls every hour. we don't buy into every poll. the important thing about the clip you just played is that this is a fundamental difference in this race. president obama as you saw heard him say believes women should make their own choices. doesn't mean we should defund planned parenthood. this issue this with with mr. mourdock reminded women at what's at stake. it's perplexing to us for days the romney campaign has gone into hiding to avoid answering questions because mitt romney is up on the air with an ad for this candidate. but it's really about the larger issue of women's health. this is a very big issue in a state like colorado. you know, women care very deeply about this across the country but especially there and something we'll continue to talk about and we expect, you know, this race is going to be very, very close to the end. but we know that women voters when they're payi
romney was 14 points in nevada. 16 points in nevada. 14 in colorado. now down to 6 in nevada and 7 in colorado. why is this tightening too much? >> well, we know there are polls every hour. we don't buy into every poll. the important thing about the clip you just played is that this is a fundamental difference in this race. president obama as you saw heard him say believes women should make their own choices. doesn't mean we should defund planned parenthood. this issue this with with mr....
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Oct 22, 2012
10/12
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nevada, colorado, and florida. there's a large puerto rican population have moved to florida, the i-94 area. right now the president is leading, i thought it was mas print. an astounding 45 points. mitt romney is at 25%, the president is at 70% amongst latinos. john mccain did about 35 or 34. but this is the margin of difference, and many people feel that this emerging population group is key to president obama keeping the presidency. >> thanks a lot, mark. brian, when you look at where these vote totals are, places like florida, places in nevada, that's where the latino vote is going to come in. >> senator john mccain, the nominee in 2008, joins us live from boca raton, florida. sen to great to see you as always. you have the unique perspective of having debated both president obama and mitt romney. do you think it's easier this time around for mitt romney since president obama has a record he has to defend this time? >> i do. i do very much so, and in the first debate, i think mitt romney was able to shatter that
nevada, colorado, and florida. there's a large puerto rican population have moved to florida, the i-94 area. right now the president is leading, i thought it was mas print. an astounding 45 points. mitt romney is at 25%, the president is at 70% amongst latinos. john mccain did about 35 or 34. but this is the margin of difference, and many people feel that this emerging population group is key to president obama keeping the presidency. >> thanks a lot, mark. brian, when you look at where...
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Oct 25, 2012
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in nevada we moved nevada to lean obama, and that's because of the hispanic vote out there and the democratic machine as you see some write about today. you know, we don't know where it will be just yet, but we know it's cliche that it's tight. these two states are really critical to the president's path, if he weren't to win florida, ohio or virginia, deekd it. needs both colorado and nevada. >> thank you very much. can't wait to see the new numbers tonight around 6:30 eastern time. we'll talk about them as well tomorrow. more on florida and it's critical 29 electoral votes. that is where president obama made the first campaign appearance today in tampa. >> if you're willing to work with me and knock on some doors with me, make some phone calls with me, vote for me, we'll win hillsboro county again and win florida again and win this election again. >> well, the county the president mentioned is one of four key swing counties along what's called the i-4 corridor between tampa and daytona beach. they could decide which way the entire state goes. joining me live now the political writer for the
in nevada we moved nevada to lean obama, and that's because of the hispanic vote out there and the democratic machine as you see some write about today. you know, we don't know where it will be just yet, but we know it's cliche that it's tight. these two states are really critical to the president's path, if he weren't to win florida, ohio or virginia, deekd it. needs both colorado and nevada. >> thank you very much. can't wait to see the new numbers tonight around 6:30 eastern time....
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Oct 3, 2012
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president obama is still in nevada running through his own preparations with massachusetts senator john kerry his sparring partner they will head to colorado soon enough, though. both of them are in essence cramming for the big test tonight. number twos were duking it out on the trail and that got some unexpected attention yesterday vice vice presidemitt romney cae by the middle class. >> this is deadly earns, deadly earns. how they can justify how they can justify raising taxes on the middle class is buried the last four years. how in the lord's name can they justify? >> vice president biden just today said the middle class over the last four years have been quote buried. we agree. stop digging by electing mitt romney the next president of the united states. >>> and that exchange right there may be a pretty good preview of what we are going to hear tonight from the presidential candidates this is a debate that will focus entirely on domestic issues. that means a lot of talk about the economy and taxes. back to you guys. >>> thank you, doug. tonight's debate a big talker this morning. w
president obama is still in nevada running through his own preparations with massachusetts senator john kerry his sparring partner they will head to colorado soon enough, though. both of them are in essence cramming for the big test tonight. number twos were duking it out on the trail and that got some unexpected attention yesterday vice vice presidemitt romney cae by the middle class. >> this is deadly earns, deadly earns. how they can justify how they can justify raising taxes on the...
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Oct 31, 2012
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particularly in states like ohio, florida, ohio -- >> dana: nevada. >> andrea: same thing, nevada. ohio fewer dems voted in ohio compared to 2008. 30,000 more republicans have voted. if obama had that lead with mccain and long at 2008, but only led by three points with likely voters romney leads the likely voters by five points. he won bison overall. if you look at the same panorama, it's all over. >> bob: in reality, you talk about the final vote in 2008 versus a week left to go to vote. people who vote early. you have to separate absenteeism from early voting. two separate things. people who vote early are senior citizens and they normally do. >> andrea: who leads with senior citizens? mitt romney leads. >> bob: right. >> andrea: independent and women. 3-point turnout advantage this time around swayed ten points to -- >> bob: you are taking something on election day when they did the count and doing seven things out. >> andrea: same exact date. 'canes is a political roundup, can we get to eric? >> eric: obama campaign, my opinion is in shambles. look what david axelrod had to do
particularly in states like ohio, florida, ohio -- >> dana: nevada. >> andrea: same thing, nevada. ohio fewer dems voted in ohio compared to 2008. 30,000 more republicans have voted. if obama had that lead with mccain and long at 2008, but only led by three points with likely voters romney leads the likely voters by five points. he won bison overall. if you look at the same panorama, it's all over. >> bob: in reality, you talk about the final vote in 2008 versus a week left to...
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Oct 27, 2012
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nevada 9. obama ahead by two. and iowa 6 they are tied. he's going to win at least 15 votes from the states and probably more like 45 or 50. and i think romney is on track to a significant victory and i think when we look back at this we will wonder why we thought it was so close. >> when it comes to women voters romney closed the gap particularly after his debate. women will tell you the economy is the top concern. yesterday's numbers showing a slight rise in the gdp and final unemployment report that comes out before the election. could it have an impact if it shows improvement as well? >> first of all 2.0 percent is enemic and border line recession . i do expect the job numbers to show a huge improvement on friday. it is called bls. and drop the l for the preelection data that is coming out. i don't think it will be a impact. what do you believe? my speeches or your own eyes. and statistics? >> i think romney opened up a two-one edge in who would be the best candidate to handle the economy. i don't think obama will be able to gain with
nevada 9. obama ahead by two. and iowa 6 they are tied. he's going to win at least 15 votes from the states and probably more like 45 or 50. and i think romney is on track to a significant victory and i think when we look back at this we will wonder why we thought it was so close. >> when it comes to women voters romney closed the gap particularly after his debate. women will tell you the economy is the top concern. yesterday's numbers showing a slight rise in the gdp and final...
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Oct 30, 2012
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and nevada is another place, and iowa is another place where i would say ohio, iowa, and nevada are three states where we've seen very strong early voting turnout for the president, and when you look at a state like virginia, my home state, the polls are basically tied if you take the average of polls. >> very close. >> ground game can make up about two points. if you are systematically identifying your voters and getting them to go and vote, that can make the difference when it is that tight. >> you really believe that, two points? >> i really do believe it. that's what the research shows, and i just spoke actually today with a gentleman who is running for the congressional seat i ran for, and he confirms that they were finding on the ground he's reaching out to a lot of sort of lean republican voters, it's a conservative district, and he's hearing from them that they're not getting a lot of contact from republicans on the ground there. it sounds like the president's campaign really does have that strong of a ground game. >> fantastic. >> krystal ball and littliana g valletta, thanks for
and nevada is another place, and iowa is another place where i would say ohio, iowa, and nevada are three states where we've seen very strong early voting turnout for the president, and when you look at a state like virginia, my home state, the polls are basically tied if you take the average of polls. >> very close. >> ground game can make up about two points. if you are systematically identifying your voters and getting them to go and vote, that can make the difference when it is...
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Oct 3, 2012
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republican party has ended all of the new voter registration efforts for colorado, virginia, north carolina, nevada and colorado. they had hired a single company to register voters in all those key states and now they have fired that company after it appeared to be turning in fraudulent forms for registering voters. the same company had been planning get out the vote. so if you're a republican partisan who wants mitt romney to win, you have to be concerned about this political reality that voter registration has been stopped by your party in those swing states. but if you're worried about voter fraud about the possibility of voter fraud, you don't have to worry about this group's history that was hired by the rnc about whether they have done something that is going to prevent votes from being counted. not fake votes, real votes. this group is alleged to have gotten progressives to sign up to vote and thrown away the registration forms of the voters who signed up as democrats. did this happen? this group has been fired now. they say they're sorry but given what they were accused of in past. how much
republican party has ended all of the new voter registration efforts for colorado, virginia, north carolina, nevada and colorado. they had hired a single company to register voters in all those key states and now they have fired that company after it appeared to be turning in fraudulent forms for registering voters. the same company had been planning get out the vote. so if you're a republican partisan who wants mitt romney to win, you have to be concerned about this political reality that...
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Oct 24, 2012
10/12
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the republicans at the moment think they're ahead in colorado, tied in nevada. so he has to do florida, virginia, north carolina, ohio. and one more from there. if he can't get virginia, this state is a toss-up state. then he would have to cobble it together with say colorado and maybe wisconsin. but the most obvious path, they call it 3-2-1. win the three republican states, indiana, which we think he has, north carolina, virginia, florida, ohio, and one more. >> all right. so is it possible, and when you talk to the campaigns, and the expert that you are yourself, is it possible for someone to win the popular vote in this case and lose the electoral? >> yes. ask george w. bush and al gore. it is possible. it's only happened four times in the lifetime of our great republic. but it did happen 12 years ago. al gore eeked out the edge in the prop lar vote but lost the presidency when george bush won florida and got the electoral votes. the statisticians say it's slightly more likely mitt romney could win the popular vote if president obama wins the electoral colleg
the republicans at the moment think they're ahead in colorado, tied in nevada. so he has to do florida, virginia, north carolina, ohio. and one more from there. if he can't get virginia, this state is a toss-up state. then he would have to cobble it together with say colorado and maybe wisconsin. but the most obvious path, they call it 3-2-1. win the three republican states, indiana, which we think he has, north carolina, virginia, florida, ohio, and one more. >> all right. so is it...
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Oct 23, 2012
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game and nevada, his ground game in nevada's second to none. colorado seems to be slipping away but i still would not completely give up on that. so i still would contend that if president obama wins the presidency it will be because he will have won ohio but then it will be because he has been able to put into his column states like new mexico and nevada, no question about that and in ohio the latino vote is 3% of the population. the voters are probably 2%, maybe 1.5 but you're absolutely right when you have 166,000 eligible latino voters in ohio and a state that is so crucial in a campaign and a race that is so close, every single latino vote is going to count. >> ana? >> i think the firewall is on fire. and i think he has got, i think president obama -- [inaudible] >> we are being deported from the first club. i think the firewall is on fire and he is a limited amount of time and a limited amount of water to put the fire out. if he doesn't the president is going going to go up in flames. >> we are running out of town. thank you everybody for
game and nevada, his ground game in nevada's second to none. colorado seems to be slipping away but i still would not completely give up on that. so i still would contend that if president obama wins the presidency it will be because he will have won ohio but then it will be because he has been able to put into his column states like new mexico and nevada, no question about that and in ohio the latino vote is 3% of the population. the voters are probably 2%, maybe 1.5 but you're absolutely...
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Oct 26, 2012
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and in nearby nevada, president obama is up by three points in the new nbc poll. new polls from the democratic leaning group ppp show in virginia president obama leading by five points. same group shows the race in north carolina to be a tie right now. the right leaning poll, rasmussen, also polled virginia today. they found that in virginia it's mitt romney who is up by two points. rasmussen also polled pennsylvania, and, again, this is the right leaning polling firm rasmussen. they found in pennsylvania that president obama had a five-point lead. if you want to start tuning out specific polls right now, and just wait for the actual results on election night, i have to tell you, i'll keep reporting the polls but it is not an irrational way to approach this. if you want to ignore the poll numbers from here on out, it makes sense. look at whatever polling makes you feel more informed. the spoiler alert from now until tuesday the 6th, the more you look at the polls the more you can safely come to the conclusion it is a really close race and the polls maybe tell you
and in nearby nevada, president obama is up by three points in the new nbc poll. new polls from the democratic leaning group ppp show in virginia president obama leading by five points. same group shows the race in north carolina to be a tie right now. the right leaning poll, rasmussen, also polled virginia today. they found that in virginia it's mitt romney who is up by two points. rasmussen also polled pennsylvania, and, again, this is the right leaning polling firm rasmussen. they found in...
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Oct 25, 2012
10/12
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we didn't see them in nevada or here in iowa. and i think this is what happens when the romney campaign has a narrative. a news psych ill ocycle out of . they put out that statement, saying what they wanted on to do with the pro-richard mourdock ad, one of their top surrogates, kelly ayotte, on his vice presidential list of potential running mates, she already went out and said she was not going to be joining richard mourdock on the campaign trail today, and shortly thereafter, that statement was put out, saying they still support him, but don't agree on the views on whether or not god intend for a person to become pregnant after a rape. and at the same time, not throwing them under the bus. >> and i'll ask senator john mccain whether he stands by richard mourdock. we saw the obama campaign jump on this quickly. do they plan to keep the attacks up beyond today? do they think this has legs that they can help them? >> to the extent it continues to be part of the news cycle, certainly this fits into the overall portrait they are try
we didn't see them in nevada or here in iowa. and i think this is what happens when the romney campaign has a narrative. a news psych ill ocycle out of . they put out that statement, saying what they wanted on to do with the pro-richard mourdock ad, one of their top surrogates, kelly ayotte, on his vice presidential list of potential running mates, she already went out and said she was not going to be joining richard mourdock on the campaign trail today, and shortly thereafter, that statement...
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Oct 22, 2012
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guest: hispanic vote has been important in nevada races. you see both candidates, the republican who is running for a term, he was appointmented to senate you see both of these candidates working very hard at appealing to hispanic vote both in the way they talk about certain issues especially housing, unemployment. they are hearing lots of hispanic radio ads. they are very cognizant that this is a pretty decisive block of voters in nevada. host: next caller, kansas city, missouri, a democrat. caller: my question to your guest how do they think voter suppression and intimidation and voting machine will impact the election? guest: the question we've gotten most this cycle really is about the notion of voter i .d.s having to show an i.d. at the polls to vote. i guess i'm biased about this because i live in washington. seems like i have to show my i.d. to have to go to starbucks. i'm sort of used to it. we don't know the answer because it hasn't been tested in a lot of places yet. the places that has been tested, it's worked fairly well. states
guest: hispanic vote has been important in nevada races. you see both candidates, the republican who is running for a term, he was appointmented to senate you see both of these candidates working very hard at appealing to hispanic vote both in the way they talk about certain issues especially housing, unemployment. they are hearing lots of hispanic radio ads. they are very cognizant that this is a pretty decisive block of voters in nevada. host: next caller, kansas city, missouri, a democrat....
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Oct 25, 2012
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if we give nevada to the president, you'll see he's at 243. you can give him new hampshire where he's leading in a lot of polls and he needs one more of iowa and wisconsin. let's give him iowa, let's say for right now and then you add in ohio and look at that. now we're at 271. romney's at 206. he would need some combination, even if he gets florida and even if he gets virginia where he's favored. 248, 271, colorado and even if he gets colorado. look at that, he's at 257. wisconsin, 267 and you can swap wisconsin for iowa. it's why the midwest is so important and why it is so key for mitt romney to win two of those three midwestern states and if president obama gets ohio you can see how difficult the path becomes for romney and how it can go for president obama. >> domenica, what's the one state that will keep us up all night come election day. >> well, you know, we've talked a lot about florida. we've talked a lot about virginia and we've talked about the importance of ohio and it's still important and lots of electoral votes out there and le
if we give nevada to the president, you'll see he's at 243. you can give him new hampshire where he's leading in a lot of polls and he needs one more of iowa and wisconsin. let's give him iowa, let's say for right now and then you add in ohio and look at that. now we're at 271. romney's at 206. he would need some combination, even if he gets florida and even if he gets virginia where he's favored. 248, 271, colorado and even if he gets colorado. look at that, he's at 257. wisconsin, 267 and you...
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Oct 31, 2012
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ohio still, obama is ahead in most polls of ohio he is ahead in most polls of iowa, wisconsin, and nevada as well and those four states. >> rose: by two or three points. >> two or three-point not an overwhelming margin but you can look historically and how often does a candidate who has a two or three-point lead in an election, does he how often does he convert that to a win and the answer is about 75 percent of the time. >> rose: so you said 75 percent likely obama will be elected? >> that's right because the states are what we call the tipping point states that would swing the electorial college margin he has a two or three-point lead, so it is not for sure but we can use statistics and data that just look up how often those lead translate into a win. > > rose: zero so is critical point here is that many people say paul, david brooks wrote a column. >> sure. >> as you know basically saying a poll is a paragraph of a moment in time. >> right. >> rose: period. >> uh-huh. >> rose: no prophecy from that. >> my understanding, what you say is, yes, no prophecy, but you can look and reference
ohio still, obama is ahead in most polls of ohio he is ahead in most polls of iowa, wisconsin, and nevada as well and those four states. >> rose: by two or three points. >> two or three-point not an overwhelming margin but you can look historically and how often does a candidate who has a two or three-point lead in an election, does he how often does he convert that to a win and the answer is about 75 percent of the time. >> rose: so you said 75 percent likely obama will be...
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Oct 1, 2012
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he voted against investing in nevada's companies that will create good paying jobs right here in nevada. >> thank you. >> she has so many talking points. she has not helped the middle class. nobody has done more to hurt the middle class than my opponent. why else do you think we of 12.1% unemployment? think about wall street. every time they come for a handout, she bails them out. she bailed out everybody time and time again. detroit, wall street. what will you do for the middle class? one other thing. she has raised more money in new york city than the city of reno. i have raised more money in this campaign than in new york city. -- put more money out of the city of reno in this campaign than in new yorkshe raised more money on wall city. street than i have in this campaign. who is an apostate of the money -- in the pockets of the big money on wall street? >> the next question will be directed to congresswoman. >> i was intrigued looking through both of you. has enough been done to defend our only true ally in the middle east? you both have the country of israel as one of your top issu
he voted against investing in nevada's companies that will create good paying jobs right here in nevada. >> thank you. >> she has so many talking points. she has not helped the middle class. nobody has done more to hurt the middle class than my opponent. why else do you think we of 12.1% unemployment? think about wall street. every time they come for a handout, she bails them out. she bailed out everybody time and time again. detroit, wall street. what will you do for the middle...
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Oct 27, 2012
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in nevada he is up 8%. in ohio he is up 21 points. and in north carolina the president is leading among early voters by 19%. in other states like virginia they don't give out early voting numbers by party, but here is what we do know in virginia. about 5% of virginia voters have already cast a ballots and the majority of those are women, and that's very good us in because the president has manage to hold his lead with female voters in virginia. female voters favor the president in virginia. after all of these polls and numbers and estimates from today, what is the big take away? well nate silver is "the war room"'s math guru and he factors in everything. he factors in national polls, swing state polls, early-voting numbers and historical patterns and economic forecasts, and today nate silver is predicting that -- drum roll -- the president has a 74.4% chance of winning. now that is a full six and a half points higher than just a week ago. so like the economy, this election seems to be heading in the right direction. now we have got th
in nevada he is up 8%. in ohio he is up 21 points. and in north carolina the president is leading among early voters by 19%. in other states like virginia they don't give out early voting numbers by party, but here is what we do know in virginia. about 5% of virginia voters have already cast a ballots and the majority of those are women, and that's very good us in because the president has manage to hold his lead with female voters in virginia. female voters favor the president in virginia....
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Oct 27, 2012
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but obama campaign increasingly thinks the latino vote in nevada would do it. that would put the president over the top there. if he didn't get nevada for some reason, the president's options would be colorado, virginia, new hampshire or florida. the president with an easier path. what about governor romney. let's leave this one blue. can governor romney get there if ohio is going blue. can romney get all the way to 270 when the president's already at 275. well, he would have to win florida, he would have to win virginia. then you're at 255, 254. he would have to win colorado. that would put him in play at 263. then from there, how does governor romney get over the top? he would if he won wisconsin, paul ryan's home state. 10 electoral votes right there. logic being if the president's winning ohio, these are two very similar states. so wisconsin would be one model and let's just say for the sake of argument that one did stay blue, that puts the president right there. governor romney would have to get there by winning in nevada, not enough, and new hampshire. so
but obama campaign increasingly thinks the latino vote in nevada would do it. that would put the president over the top there. if he didn't get nevada for some reason, the president's options would be colorado, virginia, new hampshire or florida. the president with an easier path. what about governor romney. let's leave this one blue. can governor romney get there if ohio is going blue. can romney get all the way to 270 when the president's already at 275. well, he would have to win florida, he...
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Oct 16, 2012
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well in five, which are we are ahead in the polls in five, which are maine, massachusetts, indiana, nevada, arizona. we win two or three of those, i don't think we will lose more than two or three democratic seats, probably less. >> all right, senator schumer, democratic senator, your home state, see you tonight in hofstra. >> see you there. >> all righty a net zero, he predicts. >>> romney supporter and utah congressman jason chaffetz joins me here in new york. i think you guys know what these guys are up to today. pretty big debate tonight. no, no, no, stop! humans -- one day, we're coming up with the theory of relativity, the next... stop, stop, stop! my car! not so much. but that's okay. you're covered with great ideas like optional better car replacement from liberty mutual insurance. total your car, and we give you the money to buy one a model year newer. learn about it at libertymutual.com. liberty mutual insurance. responsibility -- what's your policy? anncr: every president inherits few have faced so many. four years later... our enemies have been brought to justice. our heroes ar
well in five, which are we are ahead in the polls in five, which are maine, massachusetts, indiana, nevada, arizona. we win two or three of those, i don't think we will lose more than two or three democratic seats, probably less. >> all right, senator schumer, democratic senator, your home state, see you tonight in hofstra. >> see you there. >> all righty a net zero, he predicts. >>> romney supporter and utah congressman jason chaffetz joins me here in new york. i...